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Is Germany really heading to the left?

Is Germany really heading to the left?

The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


Critics warn that the Bundestag elections could result in the formation of a ruling coalition that includes the Social Democratic Party (centre left), the Green Party, and the Left Party (ultra-left).


Could that really happen?


After setting aside the effects of political intimidation expected from the election campaign, the German news agency (dpa) examined several concrete reasons why a left-wing alliance between the three parties may or may not be possible.



1. The alliance between the Socialists, the Greens and the Left is unpopular in the opinion polls, according to a poll conducted by ZDF's Channel Two. This coalition is the most unpopular among Germans in potential coalitions after the general election, with 56 percent of those surveyed viewing such a coalition negatively, while only 28 percent view it positively.

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


2. The Left Party would struggle to maintain its popularity among the public, even in its strongholds in eastern Germany, and would be a weak partner with limited influence in any federal government coalition. If the opinion polls are correct, popular support for the party may drop from the 9.2% it got in the last elections held at the end of 2017 to 6% in the September 26, 2021 elections.

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


"With the exception of Thuringia, the Left Party lost a great deal of support in eastern Germany," says political scientist Andre Brodoch, noting that there was strong competition from the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the east, although the two parties are at their farthest. Both ends of the political spectrum in Germany.

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


3. Right-wing warnings about potential security risks in the event of a hard-left government are outdated, Brodoch says, but nonetheless “slightly shine a light on the Left Party.” This includes focusing on party politics, such as support for the dissolution of NATO, and the desire for an arms embargo. The Left Party has so far stuck to its official statement, despite some small signs that it might be willing to negotiate.

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


4. The alliance between the Left, the Socialists and the Greens has existed at the state level for years. The head of the government of the eastern German state of Thuringia is from the Left Party, and has led a ruling coalition that also includes the Greens and the Social Democratic Party since 2014. The Thuringian prime minister recently presented himself as a negotiator in any future coalition talks at the federal level.

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


In the capital, Berlin, the state is led by a Social Democratic mayor in a governing coalition with the Greens and the Left, but the current Socialists' candidate for the mayoral position in Berlin did not seem too keen on the idea of ​​such a coalition continuing during the state's local election campaign. In 1994, the Socialists and the Greens formed a governing coalition in Saxony-Anhalt, eastern Germany, with limited support from the Party of Democratic Socialism (BDS), an East German party that later joined the Left Party.



5. There are additional obstacles at the federal level, as the defense and foreign policy of the Left Party at the federal level is a major sticking point. Olaf Scholz, the Socialists' candidate for the chancellorship, has stated that he would demand a clear commitment to NATO from any potential coalition partner.


The head of the parliamentary bloc of the Left Party, Dietmar Bartsch, described this as a "nonsense confession" that should not stand in the way of forming a joint government. Other Left Party MPs suggest that some of the party's policies may be "negotiable".

Is Germany really heading to the left? The Christian alliance (center-right) in Germany led 4 successive governments led by Chancellor Angela Merkel over the past 16 years, but it is not excluded that this situation will change after the general elections scheduled for tomorrow, Sunday. If current opinion polls are really accurate, and the conservatives do not gain ground quickly, Germany could veer dramatically to the left.


Although it has much in common with the Socialists and the Greens about domestic politics, which the Left Party has been keen to emphasize in recent weeks during the election campaign - with strong signals from left-wing leaders that they want to be in the next government - Produç is skeptical about the possibility of the Left's participation in Federal government coalition.


Brodoch believes that a tripartite alliance between the Social Democrats, the Greens and the Free Democratic Party (Liberal) is most likely, despite the statements made by the head of the Free Democratic Party, Christian Lindner, on this idea.

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